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Milestone Matters - Spring 2002 Newsletter

"As we look to the future our strategies are based on the fundamental belief that we have seen only the early stages of the deployment of digital technologies..." Andrew S. Grove, Chairman, Intel Corporation

Editor's Corner

 

Dear Friends, Investors and Associates:

Over the years in the venture business (and more generally in life), I have tried to develop a few maxims to help me steer a steady course, even in tumultuous seas. One of these is that it is best to concentrate all of one's intellect and energy on the controllable variables and not waste time with those external forces over which one has no influence. Embracing this discipline is for me particularly difficult because I am an addict --- a news junkie. And the last few weeks have put me, and many similarly afflicted citizens, in a state approaching a terminal overdose.

We have had to live with the daily bombings and reprisals in the Middle East and despite the reengagement of the US, at this writing, no peaceful outcome is in sight. We have witnessed the ouster and reinstallation of a democratically elected President in Venezuela with the predictable attendant oil price fluctuations. This happened so fast that the pundits barely had time to comment. Killings continue in beleaguered Columbia and merit only scant comment. We decided, for the moment, not to drill for oil in the Alaskan wilderness. We are sending former President Carter to Cuba, presumably in contemplation of Castro's smoking his final cigar and the subsequent possible easing of relations. And we have been witness to the soap opera in Cambridge between Dr. Summers and Dr. West ending in the relocation by West to Princeton, which he believes will be more hospitable than Harvard.

It is one measure of the vastness, strength and stability of the US economy that none of these has, as yet, had a significant impact on the fundamentals of GDP growth and developments within many business sectors. The economy is recovering despite the tremendous body blows of 2001 and the dire predictions of the great majority of economists. However, the recovery has been slow to moderate and skittish, depending, in part, on the sectors one examines, and the equity markets have been sluggish. We agree with one observer who believes the disappointing equity market performance is due to the "Enron effect". That is to say, that in the wake of Enron, Global Crossing, Merrill Lynch and even financially suspect statements by Big Blue, investors are appropriately skeptical and waiting on the side lines until financial misrepresentations are corrected. We think this is happening rapidly due to the pressure of declining stock prices, and managements appear to be moving in concert with their auditors to create more transparency and clarity in their financial reporting. Accordingly, we believe that, as is so often the case, the problem will self correct by the time regulators issue sterner reporting procedures.

This brings us around to our small patch of the US economic quilt, entrepreneurial capitalism, which is suffering from a contagion of contentiousness. Since WW II, the VC business has been conducted by a relatively small group of participants who understood and observed the ground rules. Even today there are less than 1000 firms in the business in the US with an aggregate employee count of less than 10,000. Until now, the GP/LP relationships were clubby if not downright friendly and I can think of only one instance of litigation over the past thirty years up until 2000. Due to the combustible combination of the siren call of the Internet commencing circa 1996, the unprecedented allocation of capital by institutions to VC firms, the rapid growth in the number of funds, the explosion in size of the largest quartile of funds, the failed dot com investments, the retreat of the equity markets in 2000, the brief contraction of the US economy and resulting appalling venture performance, the comfortable VC world has changed forever.

There is an element of posturing that runs through the current GP/LP arguments as certain investors lament the fact that the GPs raised too much capital and are, thereby earning excessive fees. They have a point in that the 2%-of-committed capital fee structure common in the industry was promulgated when the typical fund had $50 million of paid-in capital, not in excess of $300 million which is currently the case and which masks the fact that more than 30 funds each manage over $1 billion. However, all the investors knew precisely the size of the funds and the attendant fee structures when they subscribed in '98, '99 and early 2000. At the time, they uttered not a word of protest because GP and LP alike thought untold riches were in prospect. Now that the results of enthusiastic but ill-founded investments are becoming apparent, investors are seeking redress, in part, by attacking the fee structure because they feel while they have suffered, the GP managers have continued to do well in terms of their current compensation based on fees. This misalignment of interests has been debated before but never so heatedly, and this time it is resulting in litigation and substantive change including funds being split in two, funds being reduced in size and follow-on funds being postponed. In the long run, I think these are ad hoc band-aid solutions and that we will soon see the widespread adoption of fees geared to a specific budget to be submitted by the General Partners and approved by the Limited Partners. This would eliminate the huge fees attendant to very large funds and realign the interests of managers and investors who would share a focus on realized returns.

Fortunately, the small fund end of the market, where Milestone participates, has not been a party to this contentiousness because fees simply are not a significant factor in the GP compensation formula. Milestone's challenges are significant but "old fashioned" in that we are seeking out young companies that can execute a growth plan that is not capital intensive and where a lucrative exit strategy within four years, at an attractive valuation, is feasible. Although it is axiomatic that one never sees enough great opportunities, we are generally pleased with the deal flow and convinced that New York has a long and prosperous future for information technology companies that have developed productivity enhancing solutions to sell to corporate America. The private equity markets are sufficiently conservative, wary and distracted by the disputes referred to above so that if one does have money to invest, one has the luxury of a lengthy and thorough due diligence period, thereby enhancing the likelihood of sound decisions.

Although IT spending remains soft, we agree with those who argue that corporations operating in heavily competitive markets cannot long postpone mission-critical investments in technology and we therefore anticipate a resurgence in this area of capital spending during the remainder of 2002 and beyond, resulting in many appealing investment opportunities for MVP II.

Please know that Richard, Todd and I are available to respond to your queries concerning the current environment and Milestone's plans.

Yours truly

Edwin A. Goodman

General Partner

 

The Wellspring

Milestone Venture Partners seeks to invest in early stage companies, which we define as those having customers and at least $1 million of cumulative revenue. At a time when capital for start-ups and early stage deals is scare, this is an attractive time in the capital markets and an opportune place in a company's life cycle to invest. But given the scarcity of capital for startups and seed stage deals, it is logical to ask where these deals will come from. If few are investing in the stages before us, where is the "raw material" for our investment?

This is a question the entrepreneurs in America have long faced; and the best have successfully answered. The roll call of just a few is most impressive: Bill Gates, Ross Perot, and Sam Walton. Gates never required outside capital; the venture capital he took was for "insurance", but what he did find was a great partner, IBM, who effectively funded the mass adoption of his operating system. Perot was funded, not by investors, but by his customers, by selling them time on computers owned by others. And it might not be unfair to say that, in many ways, Sam Walton was funded by his suppliers, though his profits didn't hurt. And certainly, each of these great entrepreneurs invested more than a little sweat equity.

Many of the opportunities Milestone has seen this year reflect one or a combination of these approaches. In the software business, customer-funded development is not uncommon. The usual model is for a company to contract with a software development firm to develop an application especially for their needs. The developer perceives that there is a wider market, obtains the rights to the product, and begins selling it to others. Voila! - a business is born. This approach has several inherent advantages in addition to eliminating the immediate need for capital.

First is the obvious; in at least one instance, someone has had a need for the product and was willing to pay for it. This is invaluable market research. More than likely, the customer also worked closely with the developers, insuring that the product was really usable by its employees, and that it worked. Untold millions of dollars have been lost by venture-funded companies that never got to this stage. But "productizing" customer-funded developments and taking them to a wider market is not a trivial task.

In one instance we've seen this year, a consulting company developed a product, for a customer, to fill a significant deficiency in another software company's product. It was then able to get that software company to sell its solution to some of their other customers, thereby gaining additional funding to improve its product. But, in most instances, the ability of a company to continually bootstrap itself falters at some point, most often when it needs to rapidly gain market share. This is an ideal use of venture capital and an ideal time, in the evolution of a company, to invest.

There is one source of opportunities, that I have yet not discussed, and that is spin-offs from existing enterprises. Milestone recently completed an investment in just such a company, which provides computer-intensive back office services to hedge funds. Its parent was a commodities trading company that no longer could use all of its processing capacity. The spin-off was able to obtain other "name" customers, and now is ideally situated, with a reference base, to aggressively market its services broadly.

Of course, not every business can be started without significant capital. Where would the Intels or Suns come from? But the software and technology-enhanced services and information companies in which Milestone seeks to invest are often not capital intensive. More importantly, great entrepreneurs will find a way either to do without capital or to attract it. We have no evidence that, despite the demise of the Internet bubble, the entrepreneurial spirit in America has abated. This resource is the critical element in producing opportunities in which to invest and those in which we most want to invest.
---Richard Dumler, Managing Member

Milestone II Portfolio News

Milestone invested in Derivatives Portfolio Management LLC of Somerset, NJ on April 26, 2002. Milestone invested $600,000 alongside Edison Venture Fund in a $4 million growth financing. DPM provides outsourced back-office services to the alternative investment community, including hedge funds, fund-of-funds, asset allocators, and proprietary traders. DPM's services include: daily and monthly NAV reports; multiple broker and trader reconciliation; cash management; financial, tax, and risk reporting; and front-end trade processing. DPM has $10 billion in assets under administration and expects to have more than $14 billion under administration by year-end 2002. DPM is profitable and growing rapidly. One of the company's first priorities, post-investment, is to add a senior sales executive from the industry. Todd Pietri will become a board observer.

US Private Equity Performance Index

(Investment Horizon Return as of 09/30/01)

Fund Type 3 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr
Early/Seed VC -12.8 -16.9 -36.3 81.0 53.9 33.0 21.5
Balanced VC -9.8 -11.7 -30.9 45.9 33.2 24.0 16.2
Later Stage VC -3.9 -7.5 -25.9 27.8 22.2 24.5 17.0
All Venture -10.0 -13.3 -32.4 53.9 37.9 27.4 18.2
All Buyouts -8.0 -6.9 -16.1 2.9 8.1 12.7 15.6
Mezzanine -2.0 -0.9 3.9 10.0 10.1 11.8 11.3
All Priv Equity -8.2 -8.7 -21.4 16.5 17.9 18.8 16.9

Source: Venture Economics

 

 

Milestone Venture Partners 

Investing in early Stage Enterprise Information Technology Companies in the
New York Metropolitan Area

 

551 Madison Avenue, 7th Floor, New York, NY 10022 V: [212] 223 7400 F: [212] 223 0315

www.milestonevp.com


 
 
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