"In retrospect, everything becomes clear . . . If I had been more deeply involved in some of these things and thought through them more, maybe there would have been different outcomes . . . "
Paul Allen, commenting on his investments, BusinessWeek, May 3,
2004 Editor's
Corner
Dear
Friends, Investors and Associates: The evolving
international scene and the war on terror and the conflict in Iraq
remain very hard to assess. I cannot find any headlines which read, "HOSPITAL
REOPENED" or "POWER GRID RELIGHTS HERETOFORE DARKENED
VILLAGE" or "500 NEWLY TRAINED POLICE GRADUATE". Only if you read extensively, can you ferret out these
developments in either Iraq or Afghanistan.
And they are arguably more important and substantive than violent
upheavals which receive gruesome headline treatment. But I think the fundamental problem is the lack of metrics to
define success in Iraqi, Israel, Afghanistan and other hot spots.
Without them, we cannot measure progress or retrogression and
only respond to the staccato pace of violent events which have recently
escalated alarmingly. In
this context, I worry that we have not adhered to the POWELL DOCTRINE
which as I recall, stipulates clarity of mission, utilization of
overwhelming force to achieve the mission and a clear route to exit. The 9/11 commission,
although well-intentioned, has fallen victim to a cacophony of charges
and countercharges which seem designed to discredit one political party
or the other rather than uncovering information which would lead us to
better defense procedures and a safer America. The media appears
enthusiastic to report and indeed to amplify this finger pointing. It is remarkable that
despite the unsettling international scene, the U.S. economy appears to
be inexorably strengthening. Recently,
we were all reminded to "spring forward" and adjust our clocks
for the coming season and as I did so I felt that this seasonal ritual
was an apt metaphor for this Spring letter.
There is increasing evidence that the economic recovery is real
with more than 300,000 jobs created in March and corporate profits
rising 20% in the quarter relative to the comparable 2003 period.
As the Wall Street Journal pointed out in a recent editorial, the
"misery index" of 7.9% i.e. the rate of inflation, 2%, plus
the rate of unemployment, 5.7%, is at an all time low.
And the quoted equities markets have resumed their cautious
advance. There is also a good
deal of optimism within the precincts of venture capital.
Seven of ten venture capitalists recently interviewed indicated
that they plan to invest more in 2004 than in 2003. This intention was
reflected in the first quarter of 2004 during which venture firms
invested $4.6 billion in 417 companies.
This compares with 432 companies which raised $4 billion in the
4th quarter of 2003 and total Venture investing of $18 billion in 2003.
Also notable from Milestone's competitive perspective, more money
is being directed to more mature companies and, consequently less to
start-ups and early stage enterprises.
In the course of 2003, only 479 start-ups secured venture
financing - the lowest number in ten years.
These companies represented 26% of all venture financings and
only 18% of the allocated capital. Also encouraging
is the IPO activity, which included 13 venture-backed issues coming to
market in the 4th quarter of 2003, not an overwhelming number but the
highest number since the 4th quarter of 2000.
On the M&A front, 289 venture-backed companies orchestrated
mergers and acquisition transactions with an aggregate value of $7.7
billion during 2003. So, MVP is operating
within a macro environment characterized by the enviable combination of
relatively light competition within our investing space and attractive,
increasingly active avenues to liquidity for our more mature companies.
Notwithstanding these macro statistics, we are seeing relatively
more competition than in the last two years presumably because improving
economic conditions have encouraged the early stage venture investors,
who remain active, to be more aggressive.
This has given entrepreneurs more leverage which, in turn, has
been reflected in more relaxed investments terms and higher entry level
pricing. In
light of the progress of our current portfolio companies, the quality
and volume of opportunities that we see and the larger economic picture,
we are quite bullish with respect to the balance of 2004.
Yours truly,
Edwin A. Goodman
General Partner
MVP
II Portfolio
SYNERGY After making investments
in Medidata Solutions and Octagon Research Solutions, Milestone continues
to find the pharmaceutical information technology market an appealing area
in which to put capital to work.
We believe many opportunities exist for companies with innovative
applied technology solutions in clinical, submissions, compliance, quality
control and manufacturing. If
you look at enough companies in the space, the same themes emerge again
and again, such as the need for: reducing the time to market for new
drugs; improving profitability given weak pipelines and pressure on
pricing; improving the ability for executives to analyze and make
decisions; and lowering the risk of adverse FDA sanctions through
automated compliance.
One
of the benefits of pursuing an investment theme in an industry is that a
virtuous circle develops. After
we invested in Medidata, we were able to recognize the next opportunity,
Octagon. Having two
investments in the space has led to better deal flow and has broadened our
network of contacts who can help us assess new investments.
In addition, our ability to help our portfolio companies has
increased. If we see a new
company with exciting technology, we can refer it to our portfolio
companies. In the case of
Octagon and Medidata, we were able to foster communication between the two
companies, which has led to a strategic alliance (they will close their
first big deal together this quarter).
We have also found a stable of experienced salespeople who have
worked in the pharma IT industry for a long time, which is extremely
useful when one is trying to jumpstart a sales team after making an
investment.
---------By Todd
T. Pietri, General Partner
How VCs Help Their
Investees What's different after
you've raised your Company's first round of venture capital from
professional investors? The first change is the biggest; it's no longer
just your company! You have acquired a partner or partners, whether you
have realized this or not. You are still the managing partner with
ultimate responsibility for the success or failure of the enterprise, but
the concerns, advice, opinions and in some cases, the consent, of your new
partners must now be taken into account. Choosing the right
partner is crucial to the success of the new enterprise. No real
explanation of why this is so is necessary is required if one focuses on
the meaning and implications of the word partner.
Just as the venture capitalist is evaluating you and your business,
you need to evaluate him and his firm.
Has he had experience in businesses similar to my own? Do his (and
his firm's) goals match mine? Can I work with this guy (a uni-sex word) especially if times
get tough? Does he have time for my company? Handling the day-to-day
issues and crises in a new business consume an enormous percentage of an
entrepreneur's time, energy and concentration. This effort is invariably
accompanied by a strong emotional commitment to the people and underlying
ideas involved. The venture capitalist
should not be caught up in these quotidian issues of running the business
(if he is, both of you have a real problem!). What the venture capitalist
should bring to the Boardroom table is perspective and experience. It is
his job to ask, is the strategy right, is what the Company is doing
working, will it accomplish the goals of the Company, and are the right
people in the right spots? These questions are not criticisms!! They are
questions you should continually be asking yourself. You may be, but let's
admit that we all can still get very annoyed when others ask them of us.
Still, the questions are valid and answering them honestly is key.
A continuous and understanding dialogue on personnel matters with
somebody who has seen a lot and who is one step removed from center stage
is nothing but helpful. At Milestone we
were able to provide one of our portfolio companies with what looked to us
to be a perfect candidate for VP sales from a resume we received.
Management rejected him, saying that he didn't fit the culture of the
company or its customers. "He was too salesy." Both the
candidate and we persisted. In the end, the CEO, to his great credit,
understood that he was the right hire precisely because he didn't fit the
company's culture, and that the culture needed to change to be more
sales-oriented. If I give the traditional
exhaustive list of "VC benefits" short shrift, it is not because
in certain instances they aren't invaluable; it is because they aren't the
meat of the added value that the venture capitalist can provide. I've used
the partner analogy. One could also use the parent analogy or coach
analogy. The venture capitalist's success is bound intrinsically to the
success of the entrepreneur's company and so he desperately wants you to
succeed. He can offer experience, advice, an understanding ear and an
occasional salutary trip to the woodshed, if necessary.
It is up to the indvidual to succeed, but how many of us can say
that we did it without the support of our parents, spouse, partner, mentor
or coach? Mark Ain, the
founder and CEO of Kronos, a very successful public software company,
likes to tell a story that sums up the value that good investors and a
good Board can bring to an entrepreneur.
Kronos was installing a personality profiling system to better
understand relationships among employees and, of course, every one took
the test including the CEO. When his results came back, the tester
exclaimed, "You have the classic founder/entrepreneur profile"
but then had a question, "How have you succeeded in becoming the CEO
of a public company? Everyone else with this profile failed." Mark
said that he listened to the advice of his investors and board. I can
attest that he didn't always take it, but was always soliciting their
opinions. As he might have said, (but didn't.), "As long as you're
stuck with these people, you might as well use them!"
------Richard
J. Dumler, General Partner
Milestone
Venture Partners
Investing
in early Stage Enterprise Information Technology Companies in the New York
Metropolitan
Area
551 Madison Avenue, 7th
Floor, New York, NY 10022 V: [212] 223 7400 F: [212] 223 0315
www.milestonevp.com
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